Market Insights October 16, 2026

Katy Real Estate Market Update: October 2026

Katy home prices, days on market, and inventory for October 2026, from HAR.com data. What sellers, buyers, and veterans need to know now.

Melanie Dubendorff

Melanie Dubendorff

Broker Associate · MAD Properties Group · KW Signature

$334,900

Median sale price

September 2026

−2.7%

Year-over-year price

vs. September 2025

32

Average days on market

days

3,198

Active listings

+11.0% YoY

About 6.5

Months of inventory

Citywide estimate

443

Closed sales

September 2026

Source: HAR.com Katy Market Trends and HAR Katy-Southwest Market Update

Katy, Texas community spotlight

Katy buyers have more choices than they have had in years, but the right homes are still moving. In October 2026, pricing, presentation, and payment strategy matter more than ever.

What is the median home price in Katy, TX right now?

Katy's median single-family sale price was $334,900 in September 2026, according to HAR.com, down 2.7% from a year ago. Homes averaged 32 days on market.

What Sellers Need to Know Right Now

Katy sellers, here's the headline: buyers have more choices than they've had in years. Katy had 3,198 active single-family listings in September, up 11% from September 2025. Closings slowed to 443 for the month. Mortgage rates crossed 7% at the end of September and reached 7.4% by mid-October. Every Katy buyer is running payment math before they ever walk through your front door.

That doesn't mean Katy homes aren't selling. They are, in about a month on average. But the homes that move are priced right on day one. HAR's own snapshot for the Katy-Southwest market area says buyers are negotiating below list price there. If your house sits through two or three price reductions, the market reads that as a signal. Price to the comps, not to what your neighbor got in 2025.

Price from current comparable sales
Launch with professional media
Watch the first 14 days closely
Share showing and feedback updates weekly

Katy, TX Market Stats: September 2026

Median sale price$334,900
Year-over-year price−2.7%
Average days on market32
Active listings3,198
Months of inventoryAbout 6.5
Closed sales443

Months of inventory are calculated from HAR listing and 12-month sales data; HAR reports 4.9 months for the Katy-Southwest market area.

What Buyers Need to Know Right Now

Katy buyers, this is the most negotiating room you've had in a long time. With 6+ months of supply citywide, you can ask for seller-paid closing costs, a rate buydown, or repairs, and many sellers will at least have the conversation. Rates are the hard part. At 7%+, a buydown funded by the seller can be worth more to your monthly payment than a lower sale price.

Seller-paid closing costs
A rate buydown
Repairs or repair credits
A stronger option-period strategy

Don't confuse "more inventory" with "no competition." Well-priced homes in established Katy subdivisions with move-in-ready finishes still draw multiple showings in the first weekend. Get fully pre-approved, know your payment ceiling, and be ready to move fast on the right one while you negotiate hard on the rest.

Neighborhood Spotlight: Katy's Community Identity

Katy has never felt like just another Houston suburb, and that shows in how people talk about living here. Old Katy, the historic downtown along Second Street and the rail line, still anchors the city's rice-farming roots. Each fall the Katy Rice Harvest Festival pulls the whole community downtown.

Beyond the historic core, Katy's identity has grown west and north with the master-planned communities along the Grand Parkway, from Cinco Ranch to Cane Island and Jordan Ranch. Each has its own events calendar, farmers markets, and small-business corridors.

Old Katy and the historic downtown along Second Street
The Katy Rice Harvest Festival and local community events
Master-planned communities along the Grand Parkway
Cinco Ranch, Cane Island, Jordan Ranch, and their individual identities
Farmers markets and small-business corridors

The service culture here is real too. Every Thanksgiving, MAD Properties Group founder Melanie Dubendorff serves as Site Director for the Katy location of Operation Turkey, a volunteer effort that feeds thousands of Houston-area neighbors. That's the Katy community Melanie and her team know: neighbors showing up for neighbors. When you sell in Katy, you're selling that identity along with the square footage. Your listing should say so.

Thinking About Selling in Katy?

With inventory up 11% year over year in Katy, your listing is competing with more homes than at any point in recent memory. Strategy matters more than ever: pricing off the right comps, launching with professional media, and handling the first two weeks of showings and feedback with discipline.

After 23 years in Greater Houston real estate, Melanie has seen what separates the Katy listings that sell from the ones that sit, and it usually comes down to the first 14 days.

Most agents market homes. MAD Properties Group focuses on protecting outcomes. Every marketing decision, from the price to the photos to the negotiation, is measured against one question: what puts the most net equity in your pocket at closing? You get weekly updates on showings, offers, and feedback from day one.

Veteran sellers who are also buying get our Give Back Program: when there's a dollar amount to apply it to, a portion of our commission goes back to you at closing toward your closing costs.

VA Loan Advantage in Katy

If you've served, the VA loan is one of the strongest tools you have in Katy right now. Eligible veterans with full entitlement can buy with $0 down and no private mortgage insurance. With full entitlement there's no VA loan limit, so a Katy home in the mid-$300s doesn't require a down payment.

Veterans who receive VA disability compensation are generally exempt from the VA funding fee. Confirm your eligibility and Certificate of Eligibility through VA.gov home loans.

This market also creates leverage for VA buyers. Sellers with homes sitting past 30 days are more open to VA offers and to contributing toward closing costs. VA rules allow seller concessions up to 4% of the loan amount, on top of normal closing costs.

Every agent on the MAD Properties Group team is VA Loan Certified. Melanie is also the founder of MAD for Vets, a 501(c)(3) supporting Houston-area veterans, so this isn't a side niche for her. It's the core of the business.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Katy, TX in October 2026?

According to HAR.com, the median single-family sale price in Katy was $334,900 in September 2026, the most recent full month, down 2.7% year over year. Prices vary widely by subdivision, so check comps for your specific Katy neighborhood.

Is Katy a buyer's or seller's market right now?

Katy is leaning toward buyers. Citywide inventory is about 6.5 months based on HAR data, and listings are up 11% from last year. HAR rates the Katy-Southwest market area as balanced at 4.9 months.

Are property taxes higher in Katy because of MUDs?

Many Katy subdivisions sit inside Municipal Utility Districts (MUDs), which add a tax rate on top of county, city, and school district taxes. The total rate varies by subdivision. Check the specific MUD on the property's tax statement and HAR's water district lookup before you write an offer.

Ready to Make Your Katy Move?

Call or text Melanie for a free home valuation or buyer consultation. Get a strategy based on your Katy neighborhood, your payment, and your goals.

Melanie Dubendorff | REALTOR® | Broker Associate

ABR, AHWD, ALHS, AWREP, CNE, MRP, NHSAC, RENE, VA Loan Certified

MAD Properties Group | Keller Williams Signature | TX License #514494-B

Serving Greater Houston from Galveston to Trinity

Market information is current as of October 16, 2026. Mortgage, tax, insurance, and VA program information is general and should not be treated as lending, tax, insurance, or legal advice.